So game one of this 4 game series sure didn't go to plan.
It was pretty ugly but surprisingly that was the game that my projecting model said that they had the least favorable chance of winning so at least in the next 3 the Giants should have a good chance to at the very least salvage a split.
When run the numbers for the final 3 games the Giants have a 25% chance of winning the final 3 with a 44% chance of at least salvaging a split. I don't even want to mention the other alternatives because that would be a huge blown chance against a not very good Astros team.
Anyway here are the full odds including last nights game:
| Giants | Astros | |
| Game 1 | 57% | 43% |
| Game 2 | 66% | 34% |
| Game 3 | 61% | 39% |
| Game 4 | 62% | 38% |
| Sweep | 14.3% | 2.1% |
| 3 of 4 | 36.0% | 13.9% |
| Split | 33.7% | 33.7% |
| 1 of 4 | 13.9% | 36.0% |
| 0 of 4 | 2.1% | 14.3% |
| Win Series | 50% | 16% |
| Split | 34% | 34% |
| Lose Series | 16% | 50% |
Just win baby.
Become a fan on Facebook and follow the The Crazy Crabbers on twitter there is lots of good stuff going on there. Sign up for our free newsletter!
No comments:
Post a Comment