With the signing of Jeremy Affeldt and Javier Lopez the MLB Hot Stove season has officially kicked off for the Giants. With that in mind I think it is a good time to take a look at how much of the Giants budget will be left to spend on Free Agents this off season.
To get an idea I pulled up the Giants from Cot's Contracts and took a look at what MLB Trade Rumors projects for the Giants arbitration eligible players to get a rough estimate of where things will be for next year.
Here is the table with the 2012 salaries with an assumed $130 million budget:
Player
|
Salary
|
Budget Remaining
|
Lincecum, Tim
|
$ 19.20
|
$ 110.80
|
Zito, Barry
|
$ 19.00
|
$ 91.80
|
Cain, Matt
|
$ 15.33
|
$ 76.47
|
Rowand, Aaron
|
$ 13.60
|
$ 62.87
|
Huff, Aubrey
|
$ 10.00
|
$ 52.87
|
Wilson, Brian
|
$ 8.50
|
$ 44.37
|
Sanchez, Freddy
|
$ 6.00
|
$ 38.37
|
Sanchez, Jonathan
|
$ 5.20
|
$ 33.17
|
Affeldt, Jeremy
|
$ 5.00
|
$ 28.17
|
Lopez, Javier
|
$ 4.25
|
$ 23.92
|
Sandoval, Pablo
|
$ 3.20
|
$ 20.72
|
Jeff Keppinger
|
$ 2.70
|
$ 18.02
|
Torres, Andres
|
$ 2.50
|
$ 15.52
|
Ryan Vogelsong
|
$ 2.50
|
$ 13.02
|
Ramirez, Ramon S.
|
$ 2.30
|
$ 10.72
|
Casilla, Santiago
|
$ 1.90
|
$ 8.82
|
Fontenot, Mike
|
$ 1.30
|
$ 7.52
|
Romo, Sergio
|
$ 1.30
|
$ 6.22
|
Schierholtz, Nate
|
$ 1.20
|
$ 5.02
|
Whiteside, Eli
|
$ 0.70
|
$ 4.32
|
Burriss, Emmanuel
|
$ 0.60
|
$ 3.72
|
Posey, Buster
|
$ 0.50
|
$ 3.22
|
Bumgarner, Madison
|
$ 0.45
|
$ 2.77
|
Runzler, Dan
|
$ 0.45
|
$ 2.32
|
Belt, Brandon
|
$ 0.45
|
$ 1.87
|
Chris Stewart
|
$ 0.45
|
$ 1.42
|
Guys in green are arbitration eligible who I expect to come back, guys in yellow are arbitration eligible and are candidates for not having a contract tendered to them. The guys in white have a contract already for next season or are under team control still. Finally there is Aaron Rowand who was released but still owed $13 million for next season and I am pretty sure counts against the Giants budget.
If everyone comes back that leaves about $1.5 million for Free Agent Activities. If the non-tender candidates don't come back that leaves about $12 million for Free Agents. If the partners that control the team are feeling generous and don't count Rowand's money owed to him this season and the non-tender candidates don't come back the Giants have about $25 million left for Free Agents.
The last issue is what the final number will be for the budget. For this exercise I have assumed $130 million but the more realistic number is a small increase from this seasons $122 million. If that is the case the chances of getting a big free agent are nearly zero, and the chance of getting more than one mid-tier free agent seem slim as well with around $118 already committed.
We will see how Brain Sabean deals with this situation, barring a big deal that moves a high priced pitcher or a change of heart from management this off season won't be one that offers any big name quick fixes.
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